The decision layer for prediction markets on Binance Agentic Wallet — quant P(UP) hooks, sports +EV sizing, auto-redeem, and an x402 network where every forecast is scored in public.
基于币安 Agentic Wallet 的预测市场决策层：量化概率、体育正期望、自动赎回，以及公开计分的 x402 预言机网络。
npm run demo # keyless simulated pipelineDaily forecast volume and mean Brier score across all nodes.
Forecast vs realised UP rate.
npm run node -- register to be first.Hold to unlock live execution; hold with a .ai Agent ID to run an oracle node. 持币解锁实盘，持币 + .ai 身份运行预言机节点。
HOLDER ($POLYAI) tier enables the live Up/Down hooks and confirmed sports orders in the open-source engine (up to 25 USDT per sports order by default).
持币解锁实盘：涨跌预测钩子与需确认的体育下单
HOLDER ($POLYAI) + a resolvable .ai Agent ID reaches ORACLE tier: run an x402 node and sell calibrated P(UP) signals, paid in USDT to your Agent ID address.
持币 + .ai 身份：运行 x402 预言机节点出售信号
Every guard is the official mechanism layer; polyai.tech supplies probabilities, sizing and the public record.
Resolve your .ai Agent ID, sign one EIP-712 registration with Binance Agentic Wallet, then publish a forecast every round. Your score starts building with the first resolved forecast.
# register (one EIP-712 signature via baw) npm run node -- register --agent you.ai \ --api https://api.polyai.tech # publish a forecast every 5-minute round npm run node -- publish --loop \ --symbol BTCUSDT --timeframe 5m
Node pages and the leaderboard show each registered node's on-chain balance next to its Brier score.
排行榜与节点页展示链上持币量
Tiers come from a plain balanceOf read on BNB Smart Chain. Move tokens out and the tier follows; nothing is custodied.
只读余额，无需质押或锁仓，不托管资产
The P(UP) hook reads only the underlying — futures order book, taker flow, funding, basis, positioning — never the prediction-market quote.
模型看不到盘口报价，只看标的期货微观结构
Overround, spread, time-to-close and the topic fee are checked before any trade. Most rounds end at NO_EDGE.
抽水、点差、手续费不过关就不交易
Stakes follow a fraction of Kelly on a loss budget, capped by stake size, budget room and depth at the best ask.
四分之一凯利 + 预算与深度上限
.ai Agent ID nodes publish before the outcome is known. The server timestamps, resolves and scores every forecast.
节点先发布、服务器盖时间戳并自动结算打分